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Induced Innovation, Inventors, and the Energy Transition
Eugenie Dugoua
Todd D. Gerarden
American Economic Review: Insights (Forthcoming)
Abstract
We study how individual inventors respond to incentives to work on “clean” electricity technologies.
Using natural gas price variation, we estimate output and entry elasticities of inventors and
measure the medium-term impacts of a price increase mirroring the social cost of carbon. We
find that the induced clean innovation response primarily comes from existing clean inventors.
New inventors are less responsive on the margin than their average contribution to clean energy
patenting would indicate. Our results strengthen the rationale for government intervention to
expedite the energy transition.